Timely to stock up on needed supplies?

softdown

Can we ever catch a long term break and relax for several years? I think not:

* The drums of war have been pounding since 9/12/2001.

* The drums of global warming keep pounding - mostly by the private jet and mega yacht crowd. Now they are chopping down a chunk of the Amazon for their next conference. Are they just messing with us?

* Very odd fires that clearly seem to be intentionally started. S Carolina and N York in the winter?

* Incoming tariffs - impact remains to be seen.

* Judges consistently over riding the commands of the executive branch. Never seen much of that before.

*Clear signs of an incoming recession. 

* ”Arguing" with countries that were historically strong allies. 

* There are always clear and present dangers. But wars and economic weakness tend to sort themselves out. I sense a macro degradation in the publics mental health. Entitlement and softness manifesting like never before. RFK Jr declares the issue can be resolved by increasing the quality of the food supply. Is that even realistic? 

* The latest Candace Owens podcast proves that our strongest ally is historically a blackmail operation. And has been for decades. It is “joked” that the Moesaads codename for 47 is “AutoPen”. War with Iran seems imminent at times. “AutoPen” sees to this perception. 

Timely to stock up on needed supplies? 

Marc Kurth

Every day is the best time to be reasonably prepared for emergencies and disasters. One of the really great things is that you get to pick your own level of self-sufficiency, and how to achieve it!

GoodScience

I knew that Trump would win.  So I bought solar shipment from China and have it installed.  Now with 20 450 watt panels.  And 10KW split phase inverters.  It was very difficult dealing with custom's brokers who were afraid of the existing tariffs. The solar panels were listed as "free" on the invoice and the controllers were the cost.  Hopefully my whole house can run without the Grid now.  20KW system, advertised but as you know that almost never is achieved.  In Colorado we have SUN.  

softdown

Marc Kurth said:

Every day is the best time to be reasonably prepared for emergencies and disasters. One of the really great things is that you get to pick your own level of self-sufficiency, and how to achieve it!

We get to pick what to prepare for. We do not get to pick what happens. I’ll bet 90% of city dwellers are not prepared for 12 hours without power.  

Never thought I’d maybe have to prepare for wildfires. Yet here I am. If "political vigilantes” want wildfires it is hard to stop. 

softdown

GoodScience said:

I knew that Trump would win.  So I bought solar shipment from China and have it installed.  Now with 20 450 watt panels.  And 10KW split phase inverters.  It was very difficult dealing with custom's brokers who were afraid of the existing tariffs. The solar panels were listed as "free" on the invoice and the controllers were the cost.  Hopefully my whole house can run without the Grid now.  20KW system, advertised but as you know that almost never is achieved.  In Colorado we have SUN.  

No idea how you knew Trump would win with the odds sitting at ~ 60%. I didn’t know T would win, I did feel that the country depended on it for future viability. 36 trillion in debt is dangerous waters. Etc.

Getting that system functional will be a chore. Since the WHO is running drills on grid outages I would prioritise functionality.

***Do not read the following if you are readily triggered***

Fast forward to today. Our fleet is parked in the Red Sea and itching for an excuse to fulfil the ambitions of their master planners. The administration rapidly morphed from The Avengers to The Z*******. "You know who rules over you by who you are not allowed to criticise." T lost a lot of cerebral support when he chose Massey as his #1 target. Massey is literally the only R who is not controlled by A****. So it turns out that his #1 priority precisely aligns with the master planners that he was so bellicose about. The triumph of real world politics reigns again. The public hoodwinked. Again. Trillions more in debt. Likely. 

Marc Kurth

softdown said:

Marc Kurth said:

Every day is the best time to be reasonably prepared for emergencies and disasters. One of the really great things is that you get to pick your own level of self-sufficiency, and how to achieve it!

We get to pick what to prepare for. We do not get to pick what happens. I’ll bet 90% of city dwellers are not prepared for 12 hours without power.  

Never thought I’d maybe have to prepare for wildfires. Yet here I am. If "political vigilantes” want wildfires it is hard to stop. 

I do agree that most people will be in trouble in a grid down situation. I DO NOT claim to be ready for anything. Nowadays, solar is so cheap that there is no reason not to have at least a minimum sized system to support a couple of chest freezers.

But then fires are a part of emergency preparedness.

Our home in the piney woods outside of Bastrop, TX survived when 1,700 homes around me did not in 2011. Low cost concrete septic tanks provide water for a fire sprinkler pump. Now, I have a lake water pump connected to fire sprinklers to soak my house and surrounding vegetation.  1,000 gallons every 15 minutes really helps soak everything down.

softdown

Marc Kurth said:

softdown said:

Marc Kurth said:

Every day is the best time to be reasonably prepared for emergencies and disasters. One of the really great things is that you get to pick your own level of self-sufficiency, and how to achieve it!

We get to pick what to prepare for. We do not get to pick what happens. I’ll bet 90% of city dwellers are not prepared for 12 hours without power.  

Never thought I’d maybe have to prepare for wildfires. Yet here I am. If "political vigilantes” want wildfires it is hard to stop. 

I do agree that most people will be in trouble in a grid down situation. I DO NOT claim to be ready for anything. Nowadays, solar is so cheap that there is no reason not to have at least a minimum sized system to support a couple of chest freezers.

But then fires are a part of emergency preparedness.

Our home in the piney woods outside of Bastrop, TX survived when 1,700 homes around me did not in 2011. Low cost concrete septic tanks provide water for a fire sprinkler pump. Now, I have a lake water pump connected to fire sprinklers to soak my house and surrounding vegetation.  1,000 gallons every 15 minutes really helps soak everything down.

I keep visualising a practical home fire suppression system. Challenging without access to a lake or pond. 1000 gallons will not protect the typical home. 

Marc Kurth

Having access to water was at the top of the list when we moved here eight years ago. IMHO, water may be the single biggest problem most people will face during a long term emergency. That is one of the reasons that I selected where I live.

We were able to save our last home from fire with two 1250 gallon tanks and some brass impulse (Rainbird) sprinklers with overlapping patterns. More is better, but 2500 gallons gave us two hours of soaking the roof and the immediate area around the house for two hours. (10 GPM each) We loaded up what we could, waited as long as we could, then fired it up and bailed out. 

I am not saying that this will work for you, but it did for us.

softdown

My shop is ~ 8000 sq ft. Though I would hope the steel roof and siding would protect those areas. The north and south sides are traditional wood and plastic materials. 

I’m planning on a bush hog for the tractor. Clearing ~100’ usually does the job. Usually. 

Whether to stay and deal with freak hotspots or book and quite possibly lose everything? A question. 

I would not want to survive losing everything. Not with the pain and health issues that 2025 coincided with. 

BB.

Note that steel buildings are still very susceptible to fire damage. Steel starts losing much of its strength over ~450 degrees F... And fires can be in the range of 2,000F...

May or may not be helpful:

https://www.firefree.com/blog/all-you-need-to-know-about-fireproofing-a-steel-building/

-Bill

softdown

Steel siding is all. 

softdown

Steel roof and siding is all. 

Marc Kurth

softdown said:

My shop is ~ 8000 sq ft. Though I would hope the steel roof and siding would protect those areas. The north and south sides are traditional wood and plastic materials. 

I’m planning on a bush hog for the tractor. Clearing ~100’ usually does the job. Usually. 

Well then my approach wouldn't work for you. With that shop, plus your home, plus the surrounding areas, you would need a whole lot more water than I did.

softdown

Home is part of the shop. About 1500 sq ft. 

Never thought I’d worry about wildfires here. 

JRHill

Yup, fire is our biggie. Being in dense forest about the only thing that can be done, and has been mostly done, is to remove almost all the pines and fir around the home site. We still do have plenty of Oregon Oak around for shade and to make any digging/trenching project a challenge.

softdown

Looks like we called it. There will almost assuredly be stormy seas, supply issues, and price increases.

I find Xi’s counter tariffs kind of amusing. Kind of. Can’t see many Chinese grousing how it seems like everything comes from America. 

Maybe have a couple months, at most, before US inventories dry up and the tariffs drive up prices a great deal. India and Vietnam may be high fiving each other? 

JRHill

You underestimate us, U.S.. There will be pain. Then we, the U.S. will rebound. Maybe a bit too slowly for some but it will happen. It's been a long time coming. We will always have a huge service base but we will have piece parts again.

"Let it be said, let it be done."

Marc Kurth

JRHill said:

You underestimate us, U.S.. There will be pain. Then we, the U.S. will rebound. Maybe a bit too slowly for some but it will happen. It's been a long time coming. We will always have a huge service base but we will have piece parts again.

"Let it be said, let it be done."

I do agree. Digging out of deep hole is never easy or painless, but that is where we are.

People tend to overlook that like it or not: Mr. Trump's style is to stab hard with hyperbole on the first round, then negotiate back from there. We do need to reduce our reliance on foreign countries for critical things. Antibiotics is a great example.

We hired a new CEO, so I will let him work and pass judgement after he has time to do the things he promised. The biggest stumbling block seems to be road blocks being thrown up by his opposition.

softdown

I worry too much. Keep watching this great bald eagle feed - just incredible. I seem to be the only one worried that an eaglet may fall out of the nest - 150’ drop. Or the larger one will destroy the smaller one. That just happened last month with the LA podcast nest. A baby eagle fell to its death last week in the Colorado feed. So catastrophe in 2 of the 3 feeds I view. Nature is harsh. 

I never used to worry. Wish I could do that again. But those were also far less crazy days. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B4-L2nfGcuE

JRHill

Remember Alfred E Newman.

JRHill

@Marc Kurth

I keep having to remind myself that we, the U.S., are only a bit over four months into this administration. And in that time there is grinding of teeth and all kinds of doom. But to me there are resets waiting to happen. And Mr Trump is the man to do that. He learned from the 1st term and that is obvious.

So I am being patient even though little effects us. A bunch of the little are insurance costs and DJT/DOGE hasn't gotten there yet. If and when that disruption happens we will go without  But we don't have a $500k place with a mortgage in the burbs.

Major reset coming.